Tag Archives: Cash

Profit, Profit and Profit (Yup there are 3 kinds)

16 Feb

Rainbow Cake - Because I couldn't find a great picture for this post

Ever had the feeling when you think you know something, because it’s so simple in theory, until one day you don’t because you have to put it in practice? 

Like knowing how to make an omelette.

In theory, its fairly simple. Pour well whisked eggs on hot pan, add salt + pepper and voila!

In reality, you could be stuck forever when it comes to breaking the eggs. By the time you get the basics right and get to adding tomatoes, onion, herbs, etc you are already a veteran.

I find this analogy fairly apt because I have found, over the last many years of waking up with a bad hangover in the homes of strangers, that even the most intelligent set of people can’t make good omelettes. And that’s because, while they possess a deep and unshakable confidence in their ability to make omelettes, in reality they just don’t know how to.

The reason why they are so wrong is because their template of a ‘Good omelette’ is flawed. 

The same stands true for our understanding of profit. Unsurprisingly most ‘accounts/finance unaware’ entrepreneurs get it wrong all the time. The theoretical understanding of Revenue – Cost = Profit is good enough only when you are trying to impress your 10 year old niece/sister, who is trying to run a lemonade stand. And even she will probably get over it in a day.

I had the concept of Profit wrong, well after I had finished my MBA. I had slept through all my accounting classes and struggled with debit and credit to the point of antipathy.

 So to benefit others who partied hard, slept in classes and are now embarking on entrepreneurism, I have decided to take up the issue of 3 profits and how we need to keep an eye out for all of them, while running a startup.

The 3 types of profit are

A. Gross Profit

B. Operating Profit

C. Net Profit

A. Gross Profit – The true representation of that cute ‘Profit’ formula for your niece/sister. To an extent. 

Net Sales* – COGS ** = Gross Profit

*Only revenue from sales of goods/services and not other sources like selling off assets and investments. Also after deduction of sales allowances and discounts.

** Cost of Goods and Services i.e. the direct cost of making the product or delivering the service

Now this may look simple but how do you determine what is COGS, when the definition of ‘direct costs’ may differ based on how you apply them? Issues of when you recognize revenue are also important.

Anyway, the point here is that if you are in the red (-ve gross profits or gross loss) here, then one or more of the following may be the case 

1. You are still trying to negotiate better rates with vendors for input/raw material costs. You have an idea of what it will cost when you have negotiated good deals with vendors/suppliers and are supplying customers products based on that cost.

2. To acquire customers and entice channel partners you are offering a lot of discounts to them to make your product/service available or to get potential customers to try them. You plan to increase prices once you have a good base of customers.

3. You hit a bad year and were getting rid of your inventory at heavy discounts.

4. You hit a bad year and delivered goods/services, promised in the past for a particular negotiated price, but now have to deal with higher input costs.

5. You are being a loss leader. Basically putting people out of business by offering cheaper products on the strength of your cash.

6. You messed up and don’t really know what it costs you to make a product/deliver a service

There are other reasons but if you suddenly realised that the last point applies to you, just stop here. Please go back and figure out the COGS of your company and read the rest. Chances are that if you have a gross loss instead of a profit then you are going to be in deep shit if you don’t take corrective measures soon. You will be -ve for the rest of the 2 profits by default.

To be sure, a number of well funded start-ups may be bleeding red here, but they are doing so just to get scale, reach or to develop the market (Points 1,2,4,5).

B. Operating Profits – This profit is the real deal when it comes to determining the health of your startup. 

Now some people feel that Operating Profits are shown by EBIT = Earnings (Another name for profit) Before Interest and Taxes and others feel it is shown best by EBITDA = Earnings before Interest Taxes Depreciation and Amortization.

However you do it, this profit shows the amount of money you make from all operations related to selling of goods.

This includes, salaries, sales, marketing and other overhead costs. 

If you are thinking of taking a loan on your business, then bankers will have a look at this metric since it shows them your ability to pay back the loan amount. 

A healthy or slim Operating Profit Margin basically shows how healthy and efficient your company is. Slim margins are more susceptible to small changes in costs or other factors and can be maintained only when volumes are very high like in the case of Wal-Mart.

If you have a healthy Gross Margin but a bad Operating Profit Margin it could mean that your overheads are killing you.

However a slim or -ve Operating Margin may also mean the following

1. You are busy building assets and infrastructure for the future and have been loaded with the costs even after amortization and depreciation this year. This is when we used EBDITA to derive Operating Margins. Many startups, being pushed to develop assets to increase their valuation by investors may show -ve Operating Margins due to this.

2. You have scaled up well but the revenues haven’t followed just yet. This leads to higher overhead costs which are necessary since resources have to be maintained in anticipation of scaling up. So you could be spending lots on rent and salaries for now.

3. Your overhead costs are killing you. You have too many people, too much rent, too many things on lease, spending too much on supplies, maintenance, insurance etc. 

Most startups feel comfortable being red in this regard as long as they have a good gross margin since most are concentrating on scaling up rather than hitting profitability just yet. They know that once the economies of scale catch up, they will start turning black in this part of the P&L as well. 

C. Net profit – When we finally decide to subtract all costs of interest, taxation, depreciation, amortization and other charges from the Net Sales we get Net Profit.

Net income = Gross profit – Total operating expenses – taxes – interest – amortization – depreciation

This is where you get to know how much money you made during an accounting period. 

So when someone asks you “What’s your bottom line?” This is the number you should ideally quote.

When talking to vendors, dealers other stakeholders this is the number you should be most interested in.

Having said that, most startups may take a long time before they show a profit here. That is because investors (VCs in particular) aren’t inherently interested in the dividends they make, but the valuation you show at the time of their exit. 

So the next time someone, goes around mouthing fantastic profitability numbers at a cocktail party, be sure to ask him about all three of these. But before that, make sure you know these numbers for your own Startup and how your CA (hire one for heaven’s sake) got to them. Once you know them, understand why they are the way they are and where you would like them to be in the future. 

You can be sure that once you know these three numbers, you will be on the ball about the health of your company/startup.

Hey! by the way, Profit is NOT the same as cash in hand. But that is for another post.

Understanding “The Burn”

16 Feb

I walked into a swanky hotel lobby for a meeting with an ‘aspirant’ VC. I had no idea what to expect because when I got a call from him (Lets just call him New Boy) I had never heard of the guy. Turns out New Boy did not even have a decent Linkedin Profile, which was surprising because in the VC world, you either have a kickass profile or you just don’t create one (Their network is already too good for that).

A few calls before my meeting and I get to know that he is the moneyed scion of a construction company. That gave me enough reason to be sceptical. Construction is exactly the kind of old world, bad money, low-innovation and unethical industry which lies on the other side of the spectrum from Venture Capital and Startups.

The New Boy was going around asking for help to set up his VC firm. I guess I must have been next on his call list.

Anyway, I decided to meet him because he sounded like a good guy on the phone. And that perception got further reinforced on meeting him. Nice, affable, well educated and easy going, this guy would have been nice to work with. All was well until he said something that made me almost choke on my salad.

“Startups MUST make profits from Day 1”

I thought it was like one of those moments of aberration, like when a Supermodel farts in the middle of a Photoshoot. You act as if you never noticed and move on. It’s just too hard to break that mental model of perfection in your head.

But this guy just kept at it. The New Boy went as far as to state that most VCs just had it wrong, Startups must not be allowed to languish in the red… ever. 

I disagreed and he kept pushing his point of view, proselytizing like a new convert.

By the end of our meal, I was full. Half with food and the other half with his point of view.

We shook hands knowing very well that we may never work together. Yet, I asked him to look over the concept of “Burn Rate” of startups used by the best Venture Capital firms in the world. 

I hope he did.

 

What is a ‘Burn Rate’?

To understand “The Burn” or as it is better known, the “Burn Rate”, one has to get hold of the below fact.

Startups don’t make profits or revenues for a long time.

 

Why?

Startups need to develop a differentiated product or service. That takes time, people and resources. All of this costs money.

More importantly, startups need to scale up rapidly, gain customers, build a brand, be known, tweak their product, R&D stuff, come out with new versions, promote sales, scale up their head count, get into new offices, build assets etc

All this takes even more money.

And if you can’t do the above a VC will never ever invest in you.

 

Why?

Because if you can’t scale up you can’t increase valuation and hence won’t be able to increase the value of his stake in your startup.

VCs don’t want you to just grow, they want your startup to exhibit explosive growth which will get future investors all tickled up and bring in great valuations.

It will also help you capture market share and eyeballs before the next guy can blink.

 

So what does that mean?

VCs wants you to make profits & money… but they really really want you to scale up and grow like hell. And the fact that they have invested in your business means they know that someday, with the right tweaks and critical mass, you will turn profitable.

 

Ok…

The VC knows you won’t make money and exhibit negative cash flows (means you are using more cash than your startup can generate). That’s where the VC money comes into play.

In fact, VCs are happy with a ‘healthy’ negative cash flow. Because what it means is that you are using their invested cash to fuel your growth. 

Something like a Sports Car using more petrol when speeding up the race track.

 

Therefore 

Negative Cash Flow (under certain conditions) is a byproduct of the High growth of a Startup.

Or

The amount of Cash per month/week/day utilized or projected by a Startup to finance its growth is called “Burn Rate“. This Cash is usually the money invested in by the VC, investors and lenders.

 

Formula

(Cash requirement to run your startup over and above the revenues) / 12

Note – You can calculate it for days and weeks by substituting the denominator. The above formula is for Burn Rate per month for a year.

 

A few Things to know about “Burn Rate”

1. Venture Capital firms may ask you to give “Projected Burn Rate” figures. Don’t shit in your pants yet. All they want to know is the monthly requirement of cash to finance the growth of your Startup.

2. Many Indian Startups like Snapdeal, Myntra, Flipkart which show great topline, are still unprofitable, but are chasing growth and hence will have a certain Burn Rate figure which is looked at every day. Hence this is a natural phenomena for every Startup. Growth over short term profitability.

3. The Burn Rate will also be used to measure how effective you are in customer acquisition, awareness and sales. So if you are able to acquire 2000 customers for every $ 1 Million spent and in a year’s time you see 1800 customers acquired for the same money, then maybe, your efficiency in real terms has dropped.

4. Burn rate is calculated using ‘Total Cash’ spent for those startups, like Biotech firms, which may not make sales for many years due to a high gestation period. However, if you are an operational eCommerce Startup, then Burn rate will be calculated using Negative Cash flows since revenues will hopefully start coming in by then.

5. When things get really bad for the Burn Rate, like high spikes due to sudden drops in revenues or other non-growth reasons, it may be important to look at Burn Rate on a weekly and Daily basis.

6. Due to great spikes and falls in the Burn Rate over a period, it is important to average it out over that period.

7. An important metric to note with the Burn Rate is “Zero Cash day“. That’s the projected day when you have no cash from investments and other sources left to support your Startup.

8. When your Zero Cash Day is about 2-4 months away, it’s time to start sweating. When its 1 year away, it’s time to breathe.

9. The Burn Rate and Zero Cash day will help you understand the time frame in which the next round of funding is required. LetsBuy was acquired, in part, because it could not raise funds anymore and Zero Cash Day was looming large.

10. The Burn Rate can increase due to a number of Negative and Positive reasons. A Positive one may be that you suddenly spend a lot of money in acquiring assets, infrastructure and hiring people in anticipation of sales for the future. Negative reasons may be drop in revenues, inefficiency of processes, unutilized assets, spike in overheads etc.